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Latest Trump immigration order could change the results of this major election

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Donald Trump is quickly solving America’s illegal immigration problem. He won’t rest until it’s completely fixed.

And this latest Trump immigration order could change the results of this major election.

An accurate census is an important part of America’s electoral system because it ensures every citizen is counted and their voices are able to be properly heard. By accurately capturing the population, the census determines how congressional seats and electoral votes are allocated, directly influencing the balance of power in Washington.

A fair count ensures that communities—whether urban or rural areas—are correctly represented in elections, giving every American a stake in the electoral process. Errors in this process, like those seen in 2020, can strip states of their rightful influence, leaving citizens underrepresented and shortchanged.

Beyond elections, an accurate census drives the distribution of billions in federal funding for schools, roads, hospitals, and public services. It ensures that no community is overlooked, whether it’s a large city or a small town.

A meticulous count upholds the constitutional promise of equal representation, allowing voters to shape policies that reflect their needs. When inaccuracies occur, they can distort this electoral process for a decade, making precision in the census process all the more important.

On Thursday, President Donald Trump unveiled a plan to reconstruct the 2030 census, prioritizing what he called a “new and highly accurate” approach. In a Truth Social post, he declared:

“I have instructed our Department of Commerce to immediately begin work on a new and highly accurate CENSUS based on modern day facts and figures and, importantly, using the results and information gained from the Presidential Election of 2024. People who are in our Country illegally WILL NOT BE COUNTED IN THE CENSUS.”

The U.S. Census Bureau, under the Commerce Department’s oversight, has already scheduled its first major field test for 2030 in 2026, with another planned for 2028. Traditionally, the bureau includes “unauthorized migrants” in its population counts, grouping them within “the total foreign-born population.”

The bureau defines this group broadly: “The U.S. Census Bureau uses the term foreign born to refer to anyone who is not a U.S. citizen at birth.”

“This includes naturalized U.S. citizens, non-citizen U.S. nationals, lawful permanent residents (immigrants), temporary migrants (such as foreign students), humanitarian migrants (such as refugees and asylees), and unauthorized migrants.”

Trump’s proposal to exclude illegal immigrants could create legal battles. The 14th Amendment’s Section 2 mandates that “Representatives shall be apportioned among the several States according to their respective numbers, counting the whole number of persons in each State, excluding Indians not taxed.”

This language implies that all residents, regardless of legal status, should be counted for apportionment, setting up potential courtroom fights.

The announcement comes as political tensions simmer over redistricting, particularly in Texas, ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republicans are also pushing to correct past census miscounts that they claim tilted the playing field toward Democrat-led states.

The 2020 census undercounted states like Florida and Texas, costing them congressional seats and electoral votes. Meanwhile, states like New York, Massachusetts, and Minnesota were overcounted, gaining an edge.

If Trump’s plan moves forward, states with significant illegal immigrant populations could see their numbers drop in 2030. A Pew Research survey from 2024 pegged California at 1.8 million illegal immigrants, Texas at 1.6 million, and Florida at 1.2 million.

New York (650,000), New Jersey (475,000), and Illinois (400,000) could also face population declines. These shifts could restructure congressional apportionment and electoral vote counts, impacting both red and blue states.

As the 2030 census looms, debates over its methodology will likely heat up. But balancing constitutional requirements with the drive for accuracy is crucial when ensuring that the census remains fair and accurate. This is something both sides of the political aisle should agree upon.

Stay tuned to the Conservative Column.

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